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Joined 2 months ago
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Cake day: February 8th, 2025

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  • Where did you get these numbers? I cannot find any sources to support them. Active personnel of mentioned countries is half to 2/3 of mentioned numbers. And this tells us nothing about these countries ability to produce new personnel.

    Also, that’s all on paper. When UK and France discuss a ‘coalition of the willing’ to act as peace keepers in Ukraine they are able to scrape together no more than a few tens of thousands, even though it is believed that 100-200K is required to be a deterring force.

    We are talking about a force of several hundreds of thousands to be trained, armed and moved to a front to fight within a few months or at least within a year, in addition to already existing forces, a large part of which are unavailable to train new recruits because they are deployed.


  • I don’t know that it is quite that bad, I think people will surprise you. Europeans stuck with Ukraine even though it costs and while some are turning their back they are a minority and they consider Ukraine none of the their business.

    I think when another NATO or EU country is affected Europeans will see it very differently. It is an existential threat then. Russia wants to paint Europe as decadent and lazy, but Europeans stand firm when it really matters. We’ve proven that with Ukraine.

    The bigger problem for Europe is to produce armed forces in the hundreds of thousands within the next few years. Making the hardware and training the soldiers in that small off a time will be difficult.

    As for Americans… I don’t really know where we have them. I do think there is a non-negligible chance they will be in a civil war by the end of the decade or the start of the next.







  • I hate the fact that you have butter yourself all up and rub yourself against Trump and proclaim that he is the greatest thing that ever happened to you in order to get him to not destroy everything for himself and others.

    I love the fact that there are other people out there who are capable of doing that and don’t feel shame or discomfort while doing it. People like president Stubb, Nato secretary Rutte and others might just keep things from really turning bad. They are really good at pandering to Trump’s ego. I just hope they don’t end up completely selling themselves out, but I have confidence in that they know the limit.


  • I didn’t know the three had a free trade agreement, that is quite significant. I wonder how Taiwan feels about that :/

    Deeping economic ties seems very vague, but free trade is good for maintaining peace in the region. Too bad US now want to make things worse with the tariffs…

    I really do wonder where all this will end. US will likely face an economic recession like we haven’t seen since 2007-2008, maybe even since 1933. Their recession will drag the rest of the world with them. Inflation will probably get back to high levels by summer and styme any economic recovery.

    They will also become more isolated diplomatically, since it is impossible to deal with Trump, unless you give more than you get. Everyone will do what they can to be come more independent of US, including military tech, cloud services etc, which will hurt their economy even more.