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Cake day: October 4th, 2023

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  • Donald Trump

    swaying to the Village People’s anthem YMCA.

    Wait…what now? I don’t listen to them and am pretty out-of-touch with music/fan-identity stuff, but aren’t the Village People a gay-themed thing?

    kagis

    Huh. Apparently so. Not just me who is puzzled.

    https://www.thepinknews.com/2025/01/20/village-people-gay-trump/

    Just what, exactly, is going on with Village People? And why are they performing at Trump events?

    The decision to perform at Trump’s inauguration incurred the wrath of fans, especially as “Y.M.C.A” and other songs by the band have been embraced as queer anthems.

    One angry fan wrote on X: “What a f**king, ungrateful, pathetic sellout! If it wasn’t for the LGBTQ community, the Village People wouldn’t have gained such popularity and “YMCA” wouldn’t have become such a mega hit.”

    “No surprise that this guy happens to be the ONLY original group member who WASN’T gay,” they continued, referring to Willis.

    Another said: “You would think that as a band founded and focused around queer culture, you’d have a little more respect for queer people. Not to mention a backbone, for yourself.”

    To understand what’s currently going on with Village People, and how they ended up performing for a President-elect famous for his “grim” anti-LGBTQ+ views, it’s helpful to look at where they came from.

    https://www.out.com/gay-music/village-people-trump-inauguration-explained

    Jim Newman, a former member of the band for eight years, put out a video on Threads expressing his disappointment at the current version of the Village People.

    “The Village People that were around for about 40 years had a strong, loyal gay following,” he said. “There was a lawsuit about four years ago, they took away the name Village People from our band, the band that had been around forever, a lot of originals still in the band, and they gave it to an ex-member who was fired a couple years in. And he started a new group, and that is the Village People that performs. Or Village People would never ever perform at a Trump rally, we would never give him the right to use those songs, and we would never slap the face of the strong, especially gay audience that made us who we are today.”


  • I think that part of the reason that Trump’s met with success is that he’s adapted to a social media environment.

    Like, historically, messages went out through media. So you had someone who was at least reasonably educated and probably at least somewhat-informed (like, you’d have a reporter that specialized in politics or whatever) as an intermediary. So you see the material with analysis.

    When you have maybe five news channels on the television and maybe a couple local newspapers as your prime source of news, the press is really important.

    But that’s not the environment we live in any more. Most people aren’t subscribing to paid news media, and Google and some others have absorbed a fair bit of advertisement money, so ad-supported news media is harder than before.

    During Trump’s first term, he focused on directly communicating via social media.

    He also set up his own social media network; that’ll even-more isolate some consumers.

    So in a lot of case, Joe Blow is placed in a position where:

    • He may not be in a great position to be able to evaluate the truth of a statement. If he’s not seeing or doesn’t trust conflicting media, it’s possible to push outright lies. Trump has said a lot of things that aren’t even internally-consistent with his own statements.

    • Especially for people who have particular issues that upset them, it’s possible to push messages that are more-targeted than in the past. Like, let’s say you care about, oh, immigration. If you read MigrantNewsVlog or something, you can only be seeing material about your pet issue. As long as you agree with Trump on that, at least in sentiment, you might be okay with it.

    • He has to identify the actual important information. Currently, a lot of social media optimizes for what gets engagement. Things that make people angry get engagement. So if someone keeps putting out material that produces outrage, anger, and fear, it generates engagement:

      https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/16/media/steve-bannon-reliable-sources/index.html

      “The Democrats don’t matter,” Bannon told Lewis. “The real opposition is the media. And the way to deal with them is to flood the zone with shit.”

    I mean, he did this through his first term. It was not politically-fatal to him to say very controversial things.

    Also, specifically on Ukraine, most Americans just don’t care that much or know that much about foreign policy. It’s not just Ukraine, but in general. Foreign policy rarely plays a huge role in domestic politics. If there’s something that’s gonna really make the public upset, it’s most-likely not going to be foreign policy, but domestic policy.

    Also, I’d point out that these political communication issues that are broader issues than just Trump. Like, there’s nothing about this that’s something that only Trump can do. There’s nothing about this that only politicians can do. And there’s nothing about this that only Americans can do. This is something that other places will also run into.

    My guess is that there will be a bit of an arms race as communications strategies evolve to deal with our new technological environment. Some of it will be what kind of information people put out. Some of it will be tweaking the recommendations algorithm on social media that does recommendations, I think – I don’t actually think that optimizing for outrage is optimal, because if being on social media is just an unmitigated flood of unpleasant, sensationalist ragebait, users start tuning out. In the short term, it might make people use a social network more, but I suspect that it’s not a good idea in the long term. I don’t think that clickbait titles are the long-run optimal strategy – like, sure, in the short term, a clickbait title will win A/B testing. But in the long run, the publication putting out the material loses credibility – one starts to say “oh, yeah, it’s those guys” when seeing an URL. Maybe something like Bluesky’s approach – which I understand uses distributed curation lists – will become the dominant paradigm on the social, and may be more-resilient to clickbait.

    But I don’t think that what we see in 2025 is going to simply be “the future”, because there will be continued adaptation on all sides: by people generating news, people writing material, social media networks, and consumers. When radio was new in America, FDR took advantage of it with the Fireside Chats.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fireside_chats

    The fireside chats were a series of evening radio addresses given by Franklin D. Roosevelt, the 32nd President of the United States, between 1933 and 1944. Roosevelt spoke with familiarity to millions of Americans about recovery from the Great Depression, the promulgation of the Emergency Banking Act in response to the banking crisis, the 1936 recession, New Deal initiatives, and the course of World War II. On radio, he quelled rumors, countered conservative-dominated newspapers, and explained his policies directly to the American people. His tone and demeanor communicated self-assurance during times of despair and uncertainty. Roosevelt was regarded as an effective communicator on radio, and the fireside chats kept him in high public regard throughout his presidency. Their introduction was later described as a “revolutionary experiment with a nascent media platform.”[1]

    Roosevelt believed that his administration’s success depended upon a favorable dialogue with the electorate, possible only through methods of mass communication, and that it would allow him to take the initiative. The use of radio for direct appeals was perhaps the most important of Roosevelt’s innovations in political communication.[2]: 153  Roosevelt’s opponents had control of most newspapers in the 1930s and press reports were under their control and involved their editorial commentary. Historian Betty Houchin Winfield says, “He and his advisers worried that newspapers’ biases would affect the news columns and rightly so.”[3] Historian Douglas B. Craig says that Roosevelt “offered voters a chance to receive information unadulterated by newspaper proprietors’ bias” through the new medium of radio.[4]

    So we’ve had politicians move to direct communication before, and then back-and-forth adaptation in response. I expect that we will this time as well.


  • A comment on /r/FedNews on Reddit says – and this sounds plausible to me – that the goal isn’t actually to get a summary of what workers did, but rather to get a user’s manager, as they are also told to CC: their manager.

    According to the commenter, DOGE doesn’t have org charts for the federal government. Apparently that’s not centralized – but if they get an email where each person is sending that, they can extract the header information to build a chart.

    I don’t know if that’s actually true – I have kind of a hard time believing that there are no org charts in a format that could be pretty-quickly centralized at least on a department level – but it’s at least plausible to me.

    It’d also be a good example of why DOGE set up systems to do direct email access to all employees, to bypass the hierarchy, and it’d explain why they demand a response on very short order (like, they don’t want internal discussion in the organization prior to responses going out).


  • who do you recommend I follow?

    What I like may not be what you like at all. I mean, depends on your interests.

    And I don’t “follow” any of these, watch every thing when it comes out. These are just some YouTubers for whom I’ve had a high proportion of their material wind up being something that I feel is worth watching.

    Montemayor

    Does military history, mostly naval. Does not put out a lot of videos, but from the ones that I do follow, has really done his research through the written material out there before putting the material out, does a good job of highlighting what’s important.

    To a lesser degree, Drachinifel and The Operations Room. They’re also military history, but I don’t feel like they do as much research or highlight the important bits as well. Drachinifel focuses more on surface gun-era naval warfare, and The Operations Room tends to deal with newer stuff.

    The Slow Mo Guys. Not exactly deep stuff, but they do one thing: high-quality interesting slow-motion footage. Pretty popular, so you may have heard of them before. I think it might be interesting to have some sort of analogous channel that does videos of microscope stuff, pans around something with a nice microscope.

    SmarterEveryDay does, I think, a good job of explaining interesting things in our daily world from an engineering/technical standpoint; guy does a good job of researching his material. You’ll probably walk away from this knowing this that you didn’t.

    CGPGrey does stick-figure illustrated things that also highlight interesting stuff, often relating to legal or political or historical stuff.

    Perun does defense economics, and has had interesting and informed material on the Russo-Ukrainian War. Michael Kofman, an analyst who focuses on the Russian military, doesn’t have a YouTube channel, but many YouTube channels do interview him, and while he’s kind of dry, I also think that his material on Ukraine is pretty worthwhile – he’s consistently avoided alarmist stuff or cheerleading over the course of the war. Can find material with him via searching for his name.

    One of the problems I have with YouTube is a side effect of the fact that it pays content creators. I don’t have any real problem with that per se – I mean, sure, you wanna do work and get paid, that’s fine. The problem is that there’s no real “YouTube of articles”. The result is that a lot of content creators out there are putting stuff in video form that really doesn’t need to be in video form, just because they want some reasonable way to monetize it. The above videos are from people who generally take advantage of the video format (well, Michael Kofman could really do just fine on a podcast and often does, but aside from that). I’ve seen too many YouTube videos – including those being submitted on the Threadiverse – that would really be better as text and possibly image articles.

    EDIT: Oh, right. Someone else mentioned Primitive Technology, which I would definitely second. Has a guy go out in the woods with just his shorts and basically manufacture a lot of basic technology from the ground up. Does have subtitles, but no narration or speech. The practical use of what he does is probably limited, but I found it fascinating. I remember that this was very popular for a while on Reddit.


  • I will never understand how a president can have powers to change any government agency, any aspect of life, change international policy.

    So, there are two types of “rules” in the US.

    • The first is what in the US are called “laws” or “legislation”. In the UK, this is called “primary legislation”. This stuff is written by the legislature. The President can’t change this stuff.

    • The second is what in the US are called “regulations”. In the US, this is called “secondary legislation”. This stuff is written by the Executive Branch, which can change it. By convention, generally Presidents don’t jump in and fiddle with it, but they can tell the Executive Branch to do whatever they want. Basically, Trump is ignoring a lot of convention surrounding what Presidents don’t touch. You could argue that maybe we should change the system to permit for certain things – like, I can maybe see an argument for the Federal Reserve to have some kind of aspect outside Presidential authority, because there are political incentives to fiddle with it the interest rate around elections – but as things stand, that probably would require a constitutional amendment, which is pretty hard to get through in the US.

    For international policy, that’s pretty much the Executive. The Senate has to approve of treaties, but most of what we do internationally is the Executive Branch.

    any aspect of life

    I mean, they can’t. There are a lot of restrictions on what a President can do.

    1. Federalism. There are areas where the states have exclusive authority, and the federal government – not just the President – can’t involve themselves in those. That’s why Trump has tried to argue that he should be able to withhold federal funds contingent on states doing what he wants, because the states aren’t doing so on their own. I’m skeptical that he’s going to have a lot of luck with this in the courts. In the past, Congress – which is on much firmer ground than the President when it comes to claiming ability to distribute funds – has managed successfully to use the power of the purse sometimes (e.g. in getting state drinking ages up by withholding highway funds), but has also had its wings clipped, as with the health insurance mandate a while back.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_of_the_purse

      The power of the purse has also been used to compel the U.S. states to pass laws, in cases where Congress does not have the desire or constitutional power to make it a federal matter. The most well-known example of this is regarding the drinking age, where Congress passed a law to withhold 10% of federal funds for highways in any state that did not raise the age to 21. The law was upheld by the U.S. Supreme Court in the South Dakota v. Dole case. Congress was not allowed to change the drinking age directly because the 21st Amendment (which ended Prohibition in the U.S.) gave control of alcohol to the states. In 2009, Congress considered similar legislation regarding texting while driving.

      This power was curtailed somewhat in a case regarding the Affordable Care Act, in which the Supreme Court ruled in June 2012 that the law’s withholding of all existing Medicaid funding for states that failed or refused to expand their Medicaid programs to cover the uninsured poor was “unduly coercive”, despite the fact that the federal government would pay the entirety of the states’ expansion for the first years, and 90% thereafter. It was left unclear what percentage would be considered acceptable.

    2. Separation of powers across branches. The Constitution only hands out certain authorities to the Executive Branch. Within the Executive Branch, the President has a pretty free hand, but only within that.

    One major benefit Trump has right now is that Congress generally is onboard with what he’s doing – the Republican Party holds a trifecta, control of all three of the Presidency, House, and Senate, so a lot of the restrictions that a President might normally face aren’t really there unless he does something that his own party really doesn’t like. The common case is that the “other” party has control of at least one, so can usually block a lot of actions.

    1. Some actions by the federal government are simply prohibited by the Constitution.

    But the federal regulations, including auto safety standards…those are federal and in the province of the Executive Branch, so if Trump wants to have them changed, he probably can do it unless some change actually violates the Constitution. If the President wants to listen to Some Random Person, like Musk, as to what to do, he can do that too.



  • Legal experts say the Constitution is clear that he cannot run, though some supporters, including Rep. Andy Ogles and Steve Bannon, are pushing for a constitutional amendment or a 2028 campaign.

    It’s a non-starter.

    You need at minimum three-quarters of states for an amendment, and that’s if you take the constitutional convention route. Even if you got every Republican-majority state onboard, which I very much doubt – I think that there are a very considerable number of Republican politicians who are glad that Trump has managed to pull in a majority and are happy to maybe use some of his tactics but are also more than happy to see him ride off into the sunset and let them run things – that’s still not going to be enough.

    Also, I don’t know if ratification is just the upper house (almost all states have a bicameral legislature) or both or if it varies by state, but if it’s both, that’s an even higher bar.

    kagis

    Sounds like it’s both.

    https://www.ncsl.org/about-state-legislatures/amending-the-us-constitution

    Step 3. Ratification by three-fourths of the states. Ratification of the amendment language adopted by Congress is an up-or-down vote in each legislative chamber. A state legislature cannot change the language. If it does, its ratification is invalid. A governor’s signature on the ratification bill or resolution is not necessary.

    So you have to get a majority of legislators in both legislative houses in a three-quarters supermajority of states. That’s a pretty high bar.




  • I think that those are to filter out chaff resumes for people who have a skillset that has nothing to do with the job. I’ve never been in that “first line of filtering”, but I remember two people who were involved with deciding where to put our hiring resources at a company I was at talking about it next to me one day. They were expressing a lot of frustration that even when they hired headhunters to contact people and find relevant people, most of the resumes they got were from people with experience that just wasn’t very relevant to the job. Like, nine out of ten resumes got immediately dumped as soon as they went to our first-line filtering, weren’t relevant to the job.

    IIRC their best return on time by a wide margin was from referrals. Like, if they have an employee who knows someone who would be a good hire at the company, they go talk to them (or just have that person contact the company and mention the referrer; they then pay a referral fee). They rarely got irrelevant resumes that way.

    But if you are trying to dig through resumes, I could imagine someone training a classifier based on past successful hire resumes versus unsuccessful (or just filtered first-line) hires to try to do some of that “first stage” automatically, get the ratio of desirable resumes up.

    In this case, though, my guess is that the DOGE people wouldn’t stand to gain much by doing automated filtering. Like, the people who are doing the jobs are already doing the job, so there’s no real question of them having a relevant skillset.




  • I wouldn’t do that. The burden of the proof to let someone go isn’t on the DOGE people. If they don’t feel convinced in whatever very-brief time they spend looking at someone that the person needs to be there, I expect that the DOGE people are liable to put them on the chopping block.

    I’d treat it as a job interview. The interviewee has to convince the interviewer that they should work there, or else they aren’t going to be hired. Same thing here, just less-pleasant mood in the room.

    If I were in the potentially-laid-off people’s shoes, I’d lead with a pretty concise summary of the important stuff that happens because of me doing my job, since I bet that the DOGE crowd isn’t spending a whole lot of time deeply looking at any of this.




  • Hmm.

    For the early titles listed, when the games came out, Linux was pretty irrelevant from a gaming standpoint.

    Later, many games that had cross-platform releases used engines that provided cross-platform compatibility. Those games would have been written to the platform, so I’m sure that ports weren’t as easy.

    Now, the games are very elderly. The original team will be long gone. I don’t know if there’s anyone working on those at all – unless a game represents some kind of continued revenue stream, there isn’t a lot of reason to keep engineers on a game.

    WINE runs them fine, so there’s a limited return for Blizzard to do a native port. In fact, as I recall, Starcraft was one of the first notable games that WINE ran…I remember Starcraft support being a big deal around 2001, IIRC. The original Warcraft was for DOS, so you can run that in a DOS emulator.

    I doubt that the investment in a Linux-native port in 2025 is going to get much of a return relative to what other things one could do with the same resources.

    I guess maybe I could see an argument for World of Warcraft, as a very successful, long-running MMORPG that still has players and still represents revenue. But I think that I’d be surprised to see native ports of most of their earlier library.